{"id":320004,"date":"2017-11-10T08:27:41","date_gmt":"2017-11-10T07:27:41","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/hudo.com\/si\/?p=320004"},"modified":"2017-11-10T08:27:41","modified_gmt":"2017-11-10T07:27:41","slug":"dva-dni-pred-volitvami-pahorju-dobro-kaze","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/hudo.com\/si\/aktualno\/dva-dni-pred-volitvami-pahorju-dobro-kaze\/","title":{"rendered":"Dva dni pred volitvami Pahorju dobro ka\u017ee"},"content":{"rendered":"
\n

Glede na izku\u0161nje iz prvega kroga predsedni\u0161kih volitev, ko je ve\u010dina raziskav javnega mnenja nakazovala zmago Pahorja \u017ee v prvem krogu volitev, bi bilo po navedbah \u010dasnika treba opozoriti na previdnost in upo\u0161tevanje dejstva, da je edina relevantna raziskava javnega mnenja izvedena na dan volitev oziroma ko delo opravijo volilne komisije s pre\u0161tevanjem oddanih glasovnic.<\/p>\n

Na verjetnost zmage Pahorja lahko sklepamo tudi iz posrednih podatkov. Glede na 95-odstotni interval zaupanja (napoved je v tem intervalu) \u0160arec v nobenem primeru ne more dose\u010di Pahorja. Tudi \u010de bi po anketi lahko ra\u010dunal na najvi\u0161ji doseg podpore, ki zna\u0161a skoraj 47 odstotkov, ne bi dosegel Pahorjeve spodnje ravni podpore, ki je pri 53 odstotkih.<\/p>\n

V anketi so upo\u0161tevali le odgovore tistih, ki so napovedali, da se bodo udele\u017eili drugega kroga volitev. Tak\u0161nih je bilo 1088, to pomeni, da je bilo med temi, ki so napovedali, da bodo volili, 5,8 odstotka neopredeljenih. Velikost realiziranega vzorca v anketi je bila 2365, vzorec je bil sestavljen s telefonsko (60 odstotkov) in spletno (40 odstotkov) metodo.<\/p>\n

Kot pi\u0161e Delo, Pahor lahko ra\u010duna na zmago v \u0161estih volilnih enotah od osmih, Marjan \u0160arec v dveh, in sicer Kranj in Ljubljana Center. Pahorja naj bi bolj podprle \u017eenske, mo\u0161ki pa so nekoliko bolj naklonjeni \u0160arcu. Med neopredeljenimi je najve\u010d podpornikov stranke SDS. \u010ce se bodo udele\u017eili volitev, bodo njihovi glasovi najverjetneje \u0161li k Pahorju, je pa veliko vpra\u0161anje, kaj se bo zgodilo z glasovi desnice do volilne nedelje. Glede na poziv NSi, naj volivci izkoristijo svojo demokrati\u010dno pravico, je glede na podatke ankete pri\u010dakovati, da lahko sedanji predsednik ra\u010duna tudi na ve\u010dino glasov podpornikov NSi in veliko glasov podpornikov SD, DeSUS in SMC, \u0161e pi\u0161e Delo.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Volilna anketa, ki jo je za Delo izvedla agencija Episcenter, napoveduje, da bo v nedeljo aktualni predsednik republike Borut Pahor osvojil ve\u010dino glasov. Po Delovi napovedi na vzorcu 1025 vpra\u0161anih naj bi dobil 56,3 odstotka podpore, izzivalec, kamni\u0161ki \u017eupan Marjan \u0160arec, pa 43,7 odstotka podpore.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":5,"featured_media":313138,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[1179],"tags":[3458,7810,4804,1595],"source":[4511],"supertag":[],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"\nDva dni pred volitvami Pahorju dobro ka\u017ee - Hudo Slovenija<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/hudo.com\/si\/aktualno\/dva-dni-pred-volitvami-pahorju-dobro-kaze\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"sl_SI\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Dva dni pred volitvami Pahorju dobro ka\u017ee - Hudo Slovenija\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Volilna anketa, ki jo je za Delo izvedla agencija Episcenter, napoveduje, da bo v nedeljo aktualni predsednik republike Borut Pahor osvojil ve\u010dino glasov. 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