{"id":393677,"date":"2019-02-25T11:38:39","date_gmt":"2019-02-25T10:38:39","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/hudo.com\/si\/?p=393677"},"modified":"2019-02-25T11:38:39","modified_gmt":"2019-02-25T10:38:39","slug":"ameriski-ekonomisti-leta-2021-pricakujejo-recesijo","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/hudo.com\/si\/aktualno\/ameriski-ekonomisti-leta-2021-pricakujejo-recesijo\/","title":{"rendered":"Ameri\u0161ki ekonomisti do leta 2021 pri\u010dakujejo recesijo"},"content":{"rendered":"

Deset odstotkov vpra\u0161anih meni, da bo do recesije pri\u0161lo letos, 42 odstotkov jih ocenjuje, da se bo to zgodilo prihodnje leto, 25 odstotkov pa jih je odgovorilo, da se bo gospodarstvo skr\u010dilo v letu 2021. Ostali so ocenili, da bo do recesije pri\u0161lo kasneje ali pa niso odgovorili, je danes objavil ameri\u0161ki medij Bloomberg. Raziskavo je zdru\u017eenje izvedlo med 30. januarjem in 8. februarjem med okoli 300 ekonomisti.<\/p>\n

Raziskava NABE je sicer \u0161e pokazala, da so ekonomisti neenotni glede vpliva procesa zmanj\u0161evanja bilance ameri\u0161ke centralne banke Federal Reserve (Fed) – pribli\u017eno petina jih je ocenila, da vpliva na stro\u0161ke za kratkoro\u010dne vire financiranja ne bo, petina jih je menila, da se bodo stro\u0161ki zvi\u0161ali za 25 bazi\u010dnih to\u010dk, okoli petin pa, da se bodo zvi\u0161ali za 50 bazi\u010dnih to\u010dk ali ve\u010d.<\/p>\n

“Obstaja razkorak med tem, kar ocenjujejo v NABE in kar na trgu menijo o ravnanju Feda glede bilance,” je ocenila glavna ekonomistka pri Manulife Asset Management in vodja raziskave Megan Greene. Trg po njenih besedah ra\u010duna na to, da letos ne bo ve\u010d zvi\u0161anj obrestnih mer, medtem ko ve\u010dina ekonomistov NABE pri\u010dakuje eno ali dve zvi\u0161anji.<\/p>\n

Nekaj manj kot \u010detrtina jih pri\u010dakuje zvi\u0161anje klju\u010dne obrestne mere za 0,50 odstotne to\u010dke na tri odstotke, preden bo Fed za\u010del mero zni\u017eevati. 11 odstotkov jih je ocenilo, da bo naslednja poteza Feda zni\u017eanje obrestne mere.<\/p>\n

Ameri\u0161ko ministrstvo za trgovino bo ta teden objavilo podatke o rasti bruto doma\u010dega proizvoda (BDP) v zadnjem lanskem \u010detrtletju, z objavo katerih zamuja zaradi prekinitve financiranja vlade. Ekonomisti po raziskavi Bloomberga pri\u010dakujejo, da se je gospodarska rast na letni ravni ohladila na 2,5 odstotka, potem ko je v tretjem \u010detrtletju zna\u0161ala 3,4 odstotka.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Ve\u010d kot tri \u010detrtine ameri\u0161kih ekonomistov glede na anketo Nacionalnega zdru\u017eenja poslovnih ekonomistov (NABE) pri\u010dakuje, da bodo ZDA do konca leta 2021 padle v recesijo. Ve\u010dina jih sicer pri\u010dakuje, da bo ameri\u0161ka centralna banka letos nadaljevala z zvi\u0161evanjem klju\u010dne obrestne mere.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":8,"featured_media":348621,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[1179],"tags":[2391,7478,1682],"source":[4511],"supertag":[7541,6103],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"\nAmeri\u0161ki ekonomisti do leta 2021 pri\u010dakujejo recesijo - Hudo Slovenija<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/hudo.com\/si\/aktualno\/ameriski-ekonomisti-leta-2021-pricakujejo-recesijo\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"sl_SI\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Ameri\u0161ki ekonomisti do leta 2021 pri\u010dakujejo recesijo - Hudo Slovenija\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Ve\u010d kot tri \u010detrtine ameri\u0161kih ekonomistov glede na anketo Nacionalnega zdru\u017eenja poslovnih ekonomistov (NABE) pri\u010dakuje, da bodo ZDA do konca leta 2021 padle v recesijo. Ve\u010dina jih sicer pri\u010dakuje, da bo ameri\u0161ka centralna banka letos nadaljevala z zvi\u0161evanjem klju\u010dne obrestne mere.\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/hudo.com\/si\/aktualno\/ameriski-ekonomisti-leta-2021-pricakujejo-recesijo\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"Hudo Slovenija\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:publisher\" content=\"https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/hudo.si\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:published_time\" content=\"2019-02-25T10:38:39+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:image\" content=\"https:\/\/hudo.com\/si\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2018\/01\/profimedia-0095145842.jpg\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:width\" content=\"1250\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:height\" content=\"833\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:type\" content=\"image\/jpeg\" \/>\n<meta name=\"author\" content=\"M. N., STA\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:creator\" content=\"@hudo_si\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:site\" content=\"@hudo_si\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:label1\" content=\"Written by\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data1\" content=\"M. N., STA\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:label2\" content=\"Est. reading time\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data2\" content=\"1 minuta\" \/>\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" class=\"yoast-schema-graph\">{\"@context\":\"https:\/\/schema.org\",\"@graph\":[{\"@type\":\"Article\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/hudo.com\/si\/aktualno\/ameriski-ekonomisti-leta-2021-pricakujejo-recesijo\/#article\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/hudo.com\/si\/aktualno\/ameriski-ekonomisti-leta-2021-pricakujejo-recesijo\/\"},\"author\":{\"name\":\"M. 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