{"id":434415,"date":"2020-10-02T12:15:29","date_gmt":"2020-10-02T10:15:29","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/hudo.com\/si\/?p=434415"},"modified":"2020-10-02T12:15:29","modified_gmt":"2020-10-02T10:15:29","slug":"ijs-epidemija-narasca-s-podvojitvenim-casom-ne-obeta-nic-dobrega","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/hudo.com\/si\/aktualno\/ijs-epidemija-narasca-s-podvojitvenim-casom-ne-obeta-nic-dobrega\/","title":{"rendered":"IJS: Epidemija nara\u0161\u010da s podvojitvenim \u010dasom in ne obeta ni\u010d dobrega"},"content":{"rendered":"

Ocenjeno sedemdnevno povpre\u010dje reprodukcijskega \u0161tevila, ki ka\u017ee, koliko ljudi v povpre\u010dju oku\u017ei vsak oku\u017eeni (ne glede na to, ali je bil uvo\u017een ali je bil oku\u017een v Sloveniji), zna\u0161a po izra\u010dunih IJS 1,33. Efektivno reprodukcijsko \u0161tevilo, ki izena\u010duje uvo\u017eene primere in oku\u017eene v Sloveniji v isto skupino, pa je 1,36. Sedemdnevno povpre\u010dje uvo\u017eenih pozitivnih testov je pribli\u017eno tri na dan, medtem ko je prej\u0161nji teden zna\u0161alo dva, so objavili v \u010detrtek.<\/p>\n

Na IJS ocenjujejo, da bi se morali u\u010dinki zadnjih ukrepov, uvedenih 19. septembra, \u017ee poznati. Zato si ne obetajo, da bi reprodukcijsko \u0161tevilo uspeli spustiti, kaj \u0161ele da bi ga zni\u017eali pod 0,95, kot je treba za obvladovanje epidemije.<\/p>\n

“\u010ce dru\u017eba kot celota ne bomo uspeli bistveno zmanj\u0161ati \u0161irjenja covida-19 z odgovornim ravnanjem vseh, ne vidimo razloga, zakaj razvoj epidemije ne bi sledil predstavljenim neugodnim krivuljam. \u010ce epidemije ne bomo uspeli sami pravo\u010dasno ustaviti, nas bo ustavila ona, kajti nara\u0161\u010dajo\u010de eksponentne funkcije se ne da premagati,” so opomnili.<\/p>\n

Ob tem so izdelali tudi razli\u010dne scenarije poteka epidemije glede na vrednost reprodukcijskega \u0161tevila. \u010ce bo reprodukcijsko \u0161tevilo \u0161e naprej vztrajalo pri 1,3, bo \u0161tevilo pozitivnih testov v prihodnjem obdobju od 50 do 300 na dan okoli trenutne povpre\u010dne vrednosti 156, ki bo nara\u0161\u010dala, so \u0161e napovedali.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Na Institutu Jo\u017eef Stefan (IJS) v novi napovedi razvoja epidemije covida-19 ocenjujejo, da epidemija nara\u0161\u010da s podvojitvenim \u010dasom pribli\u017eno 17 dni, reprodukcijsko \u0161tevilo pa vztraja pri 1,3 in trenutno celo raste. Eksponentna rast po njihovih opozorilih ne obeta ni\u010d dobrega, zato vse pozivajo k odgovornemu ravnanju.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":5,"featured_media":422290,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[1179],"tags":[15933,7199,15632,1595],"source":[4511],"supertag":[5675],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"\nIJS: Epidemija nara\u0161\u010da s podvojitvenim \u010dasom in ne obeta ni\u010d dobrega - Hudo Slovenija<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/hudo.com\/si\/aktualno\/ijs-epidemija-narasca-s-podvojitvenim-casom-ne-obeta-nic-dobrega\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"sl_SI\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"IJS: Epidemija nara\u0161\u010da s podvojitvenim \u010dasom in ne obeta ni\u010d dobrega - Hudo Slovenija\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Na Institutu Jo\u017eef Stefan (IJS) v novi napovedi razvoja epidemije covida-19 ocenjujejo, da epidemija nara\u0161\u010da s podvojitvenim \u010dasom pribli\u017eno 17 dni, reprodukcijsko \u0161tevilo pa vztraja pri 1,3 in trenutno celo raste. 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G., STA\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:creator\" content=\"@hudo_si\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:site\" content=\"@hudo_si\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:label1\" content=\"Written by\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data1\" content=\"A. G., STA\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:label2\" content=\"Est. reading time\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data2\" content=\"1 minuta\" \/>\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" class=\"yoast-schema-graph\">{\"@context\":\"https:\/\/schema.org\",\"@graph\":[{\"@type\":\"Article\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/hudo.com\/si\/aktualno\/ijs-epidemija-narasca-s-podvojitvenim-casom-ne-obeta-nic-dobrega\/#article\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/hudo.com\/si\/aktualno\/ijs-epidemija-narasca-s-podvojitvenim-casom-ne-obeta-nic-dobrega\/\"},\"author\":{\"name\":\"A. 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